The weird thing about the Packers drafting Aaron Rodgers in 2005 is they stuck with Brett Favre through the worst two seasons of his career (70.9 and 72.7 passer ratings), then dumped Favre after his third-best season as a Packer (95.7) to avoid losing Rodgers before they even played him. That may happen again after drafting Jordan Love in the first round. If the Packers cut Rodgers two years from now at age 38, they’d save $23 million but still lose $17 million in dead cap space. The Packers would have been better off trying to win now and taking Jacob Eason or Jake Fromm in the fourth round. Love, described as a project by many, might not even be a good backup the next two years.
Grading the draft
Tight end Cole Kmet and cornerback Jaylon Johnson are both good picks for the Bears, but I would have liked it better if the Bears had taken corner Trevon Diggs, who went one pick after Johnson to Dallas, instead of Kmet. Great defenses need good defensive backs. My favorite picks this year were the Bills getting Jake Fromm in the fifth round (how could the Bears pass on Fromm in the fifth round?), the Giants getting safety Xavier McKinney in the second, the Eagles taking Jalen Hurts to back up Carson Wentz and the Ravens adding Ohio State RB J.K. Dobbins despite setting an NFL rushing record last year.
All set for Tom Brady
Tom Brady made a great choice to add to his legacy. He joined a Tampa Bay team that last won 10 games 10 years ago, but has a good, offensive-minded coach in Bruce Arians, maybe the best wide receiver tandem in the league, gets to play again with all-decade tight end Rob Gronkowski and Thursday saw the Bucs draft what some people had rated as the top offensive tackle in the draft. If he can do it anywhere at age 43, Tampa is the place.
I have seldom been more torn on an NFL quarterback draft class. I don’t trust one-year wonders, but Joe Burrow passes the eye test and his one great year was the greatest of all time. Tua Tagovailoa and Justin Herbert, picked No. 5 and 6, doesn’t impress me. Herbert always looks like he’s throwing late. Tagovailoa played with four receivers expected to be first-round draft picks. I agree with picking Burrow and Tagovailoa, but wouldn’t have touched Herbert before the second round and think Miami should have taken Jalen Hurts in the second round as insurance in case Tagovailoa doesn’t work out.
Best draft tweet
Loved J.J. Watt’s tweet after seeing so many messy rooms on the stay-at-home NFL draft coverage: "Do you know how long my mom woulda had us cleaning the house if there were going to be national TV cameras in our living room for the NFL Draft?"
Matt Trowbridge: firstname.lastname@example.org; @matttrowbridge